Post by Wavey75 on Apr 8, 2015 13:00:47 GMT
Hi Guys,
This is not a political thread and I would like political views kept seperate to this thread.
I've been following the election, and as I predicted in 2010, we are heading for another hung parliment result on May 8th. I have a theory I would like to know the possible outcomes for, and I'm fairly certain someone here will be in the know.
yougov.co.uk/#/centre this is like a nice, graphical view of the polictial lie of the land now and the forcast for 7th May 2015. It's great for me, as I like things to be both factual and easy on the eye. My question is, if things for the way they did last year, i.e. the Conservatives get more seats than Labour, and the liberal democracts decide form a government with the Conservatives, then what would happen if Labour and the SNP also decided to form a coalition government at the same time, as they would have more seats in the house than the other proposed coalition government?
As shown in the picture form the link above, the forcast shows if the Conservatives & the liberal democrats combine they will have 297+30=227, 2 over a majority in the house.
However, if Labour, SNP and the liberal democrats combine, they will have 262+35+30=227. It's my understanding that the SNP and Labour are essentially both Labour, so it would be fairly easy for them to work together, so it would boil down the the liberal democrats deciding on who to get into bed with.
I had initially thought that Labour, SNO & another party could form more seats than the Conservatives and the liberal democrats, but that's not the case.
I've answered my original question, just by typing this up, but I spent ages on it and I'm posting it ayway lol.
This is not a political thread and I would like political views kept seperate to this thread.
I've been following the election, and as I predicted in 2010, we are heading for another hung parliment result on May 8th. I have a theory I would like to know the possible outcomes for, and I'm fairly certain someone here will be in the know.
yougov.co.uk/#/centre this is like a nice, graphical view of the polictial lie of the land now and the forcast for 7th May 2015. It's great for me, as I like things to be both factual and easy on the eye. My question is, if things for the way they did last year, i.e. the Conservatives get more seats than Labour, and the liberal democracts decide form a government with the Conservatives, then what would happen if Labour and the SNP also decided to form a coalition government at the same time, as they would have more seats in the house than the other proposed coalition government?
As shown in the picture form the link above, the forcast shows if the Conservatives & the liberal democrats combine they will have 297+30=227, 2 over a majority in the house.
However, if Labour, SNP and the liberal democrats combine, they will have 262+35+30=227. It's my understanding that the SNP and Labour are essentially both Labour, so it would be fairly easy for them to work together, so it would boil down the the liberal democrats deciding on who to get into bed with.
I had initially thought that Labour, SNO & another party could form more seats than the Conservatives and the liberal democrats, but that's not the case.
I've answered my original question, just by typing this up, but I spent ages on it and I'm posting it ayway lol.